Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY Odds · Q4 2026
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 82% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82% | -441 | — |
| No | 19% | +441 | — |
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Resolution rules
If FHFA reports that New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 478.68, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 82%, about -441 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.