Will Apple release a new product line before 2027 Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | >99% | -49900 | — |
| No | <1% | +49900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Apple release a new product line before 2027"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at >99%, about -49900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.