Will an F1 Grand Prix race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026 Odds · 2026 Abu Dhabi
Kalshi traders give No a 54% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47% | +115 | ▲ 3 |
| No | 54% | -115 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix main race happens in Abu Dhabi after issuance and before Dec 7, 2026 at 12:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will an F1 Grand Prix race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price No at 54%, about -115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 7, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will an F1 Grand Prix race take place in Abu Dhabi before December 7, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.