Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 66% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66% | -190 | ▼ 4 |
| No | 35% | +190 | ▲ 4 |
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Price history
On Kalshi
The same question also trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single human individual is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple people, an organization, a group, an idea or an object is named TIME's 2026 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason the 2026 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year"?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 66%, about -190 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.