# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1 Odds
Polymarket traders give 35-40M a 79% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35-40M | 79% | -365 | ▲ 66 |
| 40-45M | 24% | +317 | ▲ 13 |
| 45-50M | <1% | +99900 | ▼ 11 |
| <25M | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 3 |
| 25-30M | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 4 |
| 30-35M | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 9 |
| 50-55M | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 16 |
| 55M+ | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 60 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
As of Nov 15, 8:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 35-40M at 79%, about -365 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.