Time's Person of the Year for 2026 Odds · In 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Donald Trump | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1 |
| Sam Altman | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Elon Musk | 4% | +2757 | ▼ 1 |
| AI | 5% | +2122 | — |
| ChatGPT | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Jerome Powell | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Bad Bunny | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 1 |
| Zohran Mamdani | 21% | +388 | ▼ 5 |
| Pope Leo XIV | 12% | +770 | ▼ 2 |
| Dario Amodei | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Shehbaz Sharif | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Reid Wiseman | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 1 |
| Alysa Liu | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Victor Glover | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Christina Koch | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Jeremy Hansen | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 10% | +953 | ▲ 1 |
| Marco Rubio | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 1 |
| James Talarico | 17% | +506 | — |
| Péter Magyar | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 6% | +1718 | ▲ 1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Lionel Messi | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Xi Jinping | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Bernie Sanders | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 1 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 2 |
| Jon Ossoff | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 11% | +852 | ▼ 2 |
| JD Vance | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Erika Kirk | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Andy Burnham | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Steve Witkoff | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Jared Kushner | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Susie Wiles | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Kevin Warsh | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Mark Carney | 15% | +590 | ▼ 1 |
| Christopher Nolan | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 2 |
| James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast | 4% | +2757 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 47 outcomes.
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.