Who will join Trump at APEC in China Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melania Trump | 3% | +2799 | — |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 40% | +150 | — |
| Eric Trump | 23% | +335 | — |
| Barron Trump | 5% | +2122 | — |
| J.D. Vance | 1% | +8596 | — |
| Marco Rubio | 87% | -669 | — |
| Scott Bessent | 97% | -3536 | — |
| Jared Kushner | 28% | +257 | — |
| Steve Witkoff | 22% | +355 | — |
| Elon Musk | 79% | -376 | — |
| Jensen Huang | 3% | +2799 | — |
| Tim Cook | 43% | +135 | — |
| Sam Altman | 18% | +471 | — |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 23% | +344 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No". The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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