Who will have a top 10 song this year Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Weeknd | 25% | +308 | ▼ 3 |
| Ed Sheeran | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Travis Scott | 23% | +335 | — |
| Eminem | 16% | +525 | — |
| Kanye West / Ye | 10% | +953 | — |
| Rihanna | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Billie Eilish | 42% | +138 | — |
| Kendrick Lamar | 41% | +144 | — |
| Post Malone | 78% | -355 | — |
| J Balvin | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Ozuna | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Coldplay | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Nicki Minaj | 14% | +641 | — |
| Chris Brown | 6% | +1567 | — |
| Dua Lipa | 20% | +400 | — |
| David Guetta | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Lana Del Rey ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Lil Wayne | 9% | +1011 | — |
| 21 Savage | 35% | +186 | — |
| Rauw Alejandro | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Anuel AA | 3% | +2757 | — |
| SZA | 55% | -122 | — |
| KAROL G ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Khalid | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Lady Gaga | 13% | +669 | — |
| Lil Baby | 30% | +233 | — |
| Maroon 5 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Beyoncé | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Calvin Harris | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 16% | +545 | — |
| J. Cole | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Sia | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Young Thug | 30% | +233 | — |
| Linkin Park | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Doja Cat | 14% | +614 | — |
| Shawn Mendes | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Sam Smith | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Quavo | 3% | +2757 | — |
| Trippie Redd | 5% | +2122 | — |
| YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 7% | +1438 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 110 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If The Weeknd has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 26, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will have a top 10 song this year?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.