Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting Odds · October 2026 FOMC
This market has resolved. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh | 1% | +9900 | — |
| John Williams | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 1 |
| Philip Jefferson | 5% | +1900 | ▲ 4 |
| Michelle Bowman | 7% | +1329 | ▲ 1 |
| Christopher Waller | 10% | +900 | ▲ 6 |
| Michael Barr | 30% | +233 | ▲ 29 |
| Jerome Powell | 2% | +4900 | ▲ 1 |
| Lisa Cook | 12% | +733 | ▲ 10 |
| Beth Hammack | 90% | -900 | ▲ 5 |
| Anna Paulson | 10% | +900 | ▲ 10 |
| Lorie Logan | 85% | -567 | ▲ 23 |
| Neel Kashkari | 40% | +150 | ▲ 31 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Kevin Warsh formally dissented at the October 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
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