Who will be the next CEO of X Odds · 2026
Kalshi traders give Elon Musk a 9% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 9% | +1076 | — |
| Jimmy Donaldson | 6% | +1567 | ▲ 2 |
| Nikita Bier | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Grok | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Mahmoud Reza Banki | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Jack Dorsey | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Sriram Krishnan | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Sam Altman | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Elon Musk is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Who will be the next CEO of X?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Elon Musk at 9%, about +1076 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Who will be the next CEO of X?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.