Which Representatives will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth Odds · Before Jan 3, 2027
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Massie | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 83 |
| Jared Golden | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 6 |
| Henry Cuellar | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 6 |
| Brian Fitzpatrick | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 10 |
| Tom Barrett | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 19 |
| Warren Davidson | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 8 |
| Nancy Mace | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Don Bacon | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 11 |
| Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 9 |
| Zach Nunn | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 13 |
| French Hill | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 11 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Thomas Massie votes for a resolution impeaching Pete Hegseth in the House before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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