Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Avengers: Doomsday a 71% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 71% | -239 | ▼ 4 |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 31% | +228 | ▲ 5 |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Avengers: Doomsday at 71%, about -239 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.