Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards Odds
Polymarket traders give The Odyssey a 86% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 86% | -590 | — |
| Dune: Messiah | 10% | +895 | — |
| Wild Horse Nine | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Disclosure Day | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | +199900 | — |
| The Bride! | <1% | +199900 | — |
| The Social Reckoning | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price The Odyssey at 86%, about -590 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.