Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore, MD | 4% | +2253 | — |
| Boston, MA | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Charlotte, NC | 4% | +2310 | — |
| Chicago, IL | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Detroit, MI | 8% | +1150 | ▲ 2 |
| Denver, CO | 73% | -265 | ▲ 5 |
| Las Vegas, NV | 69% | -223 | ▲ 2 |
| London, UK | 4% | +2432 | — |
| Minneapolis, MN | 5% | +2122 | — |
| New Orleans, LA | 2% | +4551 | — |
| New York, NY | 5% | +2074 | — |
| Philadelphia, PA | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 4% | +2310 | — |
| Portland, OR | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 1 |
| Sacramento, CA | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Seattle, WA | 4% | +2603 | — |
| St. Louis, MO | 3% | +3126 | — |
| Tokyo, Japan | 3% | +3536 | ▼ 1 |
| Washington, DC | 2% | +5456 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.