Where will it rain on Nov 11, 2026 Odds · On Nov 11, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Chicago | 91% | -1011 | ▲ 24 |
| Austin | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
| Miami | 50% | -100 | ▼ 7 |
| Denver | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Philadelphia | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
| Los Angeles | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Las Vegas | <1% | +19900 | — |
| New Orleans | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 30 |
| San Francisco | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Washington DC | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 2 |
| Seattle | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 12 |
| Boston | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Atlanta | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 18 |
| Minneapolis | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 18 |
| Dallas | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 2 |
| San Antonio | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 2 |
| Houston | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 17 |
| Oklahoma City | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Newark | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
| Trenton | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Detroit | 21% | +388 | ▼ 25 |
| Milwaukee | 20% | +413 | ▼ 31 |
| Lexington | 91% | -953 | ▲ 12 |
| Columbus | 31% | +228 | ▼ 32 |
| Providence | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 1 |
| College Station | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 89 |
| Pittsburgh | 4% | +2757 | ▼ 11 |
| Albuquerque | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Springfield | <1% | +19900 | ▼ 2 |
| Indianapolis | 87% | -641 | ▲ 6 |
| St. Louis | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 4 |
| Tampa | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 7 |
| West Palm Beach | 77% | -326 | ▲ 13 |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City in Nov 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 13, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Where will it rain on Nov 11, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.