Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record Odds
Polymarket traders give 10th-12th a 46% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10th-12th | 46% | +120 | ▼ 14 |
| 7th-9th | 45% | +125 | ▲ 7 |
| 6th or higher | 3% | +3900 | — |
| 13th-15th | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Below 15th | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 10th-12th at 46%, about +120 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.