When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released Odds
This market has resolved: October 26–November 1. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 26–November 1 ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 54 |
| Prior to October 26 | 0% | — | — |
| November 2–November 8 | 0% | — | ▼ 13 |
| November 9–November 15 | 0% | — | ▼ 16 |
| November 16–November 22 | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| November 23–November 29 | 0% | — | ▼ 3 |
| November 30–December 6 | 0% | — | ▼ 7 |
| December 7–December 13 | 0% | — | ▼ 11 |
| December 14–December 20 | 0% | — | — |
| December 21–December 27 | 0% | — | ▼ 11 |
| No release by December 27 | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.