When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+ Odds · Astra 6.1
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 25, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 9, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 23, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Nov 6, 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 38% | +163 | ▼ 15 |
| Before Dec 31, 2026 | 92% | -1076 | — |
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Resolution rules
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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