When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released Odds
Polymarket traders give November 9–November 15 a 52% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 9–November 15 | 52% | -106 | ▼ 6 |
| November 16–November 22 | 16% | +527 | — |
| November 23–November 29 | 9% | +1070 | — |
| November 2–November 8 | 5% | +1752 | ▲ 3 |
| November 30–December 6 | 3% | +2930 | ▲ 1 |
| December 7–December 13 | 2% | +4344 | ▲ 1 |
| December 14–December 20 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| January 11–January 17 | 1% | +7900 | — |
| December 21–December 27 | <1% | +14186 | — |
| January 25–January 31 | <1% | +15285 | — |
| December 28–January 3 | <1% | +16567 | — |
| No release by January 31 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| January 4–January 10 | <1% | +22122 | — |
| January 18–January 24 | <1% | +28471 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price November 9–November 15 at 52%, about -106 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.