When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin Odds · COMP360 psilocybin - NDA
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| before September | 3% | +3233 | — |
| before October | 2% | +4900 | — |
| before November | 1% | +9900 | — |
| before December | 96% | -2400 | ▲ 4 |
| before 2027 | 95% | -1718 | — |
| before April 2027 | 98% | -3900 | — |
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Resolution rules
If COMPASS Pathways plc submits a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin to the FDA before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Apr 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
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