When will Bitcoin cross $100k again Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before October 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before November 2026 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Before December 2026 | 4% | +2757 | ▲ 1 |
| Before January 2027 | 11% | +852 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.