What will Trump say this week Odds · Before Nov 16, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend / Stimulus | 30% | +239 | ▲ 2 |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 21 |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | 14% | +641 | ▼ 11 |
| Ilhan / Omar | 29% | +245 | ▼ 3 |
| Blockade ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Melania | 44% | +127 | ▲ 5 |
| Canada / Canadian | 47% | +113 | ▼ 43 |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 52% | -106 | ▲ 5 |
| Filibuster | 22% | +355 | ▼ 11 |
| Ethanol | 17% | +488 | ▲ 1 |
| Diesel | 87% | -669 | ▲ 13 |
| Moon | 37% | +174 | ▼ 9 |
| Space Force ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Mortgage | 20% | +400 | ▼ 3 |
| Nobel | 19% | +426 | ▲ 4 |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 34% | +199 | ▲ 6 |
| Ceasefire | 50% | +102 | ▼ 21 |
| Cuba / Cuban ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Refinery | 21% | +376 | ▼ 24 |
| Zohran / Mamdani | 18% | +456 | ▼ 18 |
| Abu Dhabi ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice | 19% | +426 | ▼ 8 |
| Third Term | 14% | +614 | ▼ 10 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 14% | +641 | ▼ 19 |
| Houthi | 17% | +488 | ▼ 10 |
| Tomahawk ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Antifa | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 10 |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 10% | +953 | ▼ 13 |
| Soleimani ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Epstein | 16% | +525 | ▼ 16 |
| Uranium | 12% | +770 | ▼ 9 |
| Cybersecurity / Cyber Security | >99% | -19900 | ▲ 72 |
| UFO / UAP | 11% | +809 | ▼ 17 |
| Golden Dome | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 7 |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 1 |
| Peace in the Middle East | 5% | +2122 | ▲ 1 |
| Make Iran Great Again | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Finland / Finnish | 19% | +441 | ▼ 13 |
| GDP | 23% | +344 | ▼ 8 |
Showing the top 40 of 42 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Dividend / Stimulus, or a plural or possessive form of Dividend / Stimulus, is stated by Donald Trump after November 9, 2026 at 8:30am ET and before Nov 16, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will Trump say this week?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.