What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31 Odds
Polymarket traders give <$397K a 88% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| <$397K | 88% | -700 | ▲ 14 |
| $407K - $417K | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 0 |
| $397K - $407K | 3% | +3348 | ▼ 9 |
| $417K - $427K | 2% | +5782 | ▼ 3 |
| $437K - $446K | <1% | +11011 | ▼ 1 |
| $446K+ | <1% | +13233 | ▼ 1 |
| $427K - $437K | <1% | +28471 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/59)
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price <$397K at 88%, about -700 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 11, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.