What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 70 | 5% | +2122 | — |
| ↑ 60 | 12% | +733 | ▼ 1 |
| ↑ 55 | 51% | -102 | ▲ 2 |
| ↑ 50 | 33% | +208 | ▲ 14 |
| ↓ 35 | 7% | +1279 | ▲ 3 |
| ↓ 30 | 3% | +3604 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1-minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final "High" or "Low" value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart becomes unavailable or Volmex discontinues the index, this market will remain open for up to 2 calendar days (ET) after the specified date; if data remains unavailable at that point, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. No substitute index or data provider will be used. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" and "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart set to "1m" on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index as displayed on Volmex. Values from other data providers or other indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by November 30?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.