What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference Odds · On Oct 28, 2026
This market has resolved: Family Fight / Family Feud. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Family Fight / Family Feud ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 67 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 38 |
| Good Afternoon | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Trump | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Pandemic | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 18 |
| QT / Quantitative Tightening | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| QE / Quantitative Easing | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Recession | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 6 |
| Probability | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 8 |
| Restrictive | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 84 |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Tax | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Unchanged | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 15 |
| ADP | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Credit ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 34 |
| Central Bank ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 5 |
| Gold | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 79 |
| Oil ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 32 |
| Iran | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| President | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 57 |
| Shock | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 81 |
| Uncertainty ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 9 |
| Anchor / Anchored ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 52 |
| Balance Sheet ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 43 |
| Bitcoin | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Consumer Confidence | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 5 |
| Dissent | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 9 |
| Dollar | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 40 |
| Egg | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| National Debt | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Productivity ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 13 |
| Projection | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 24 |
| Renovation | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Softening | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 13 |
| Stagflation | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 3 |
| Volatility ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 89 |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 2 |
| Good Day ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 3 |
Showing the top 40 of 47 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.