What will JD Vance say during his rally in Rome, New York Odds · JD Vance - midterm rally in Rome, New York originally scheduled for November 2, 2026
This market has resolved: Biden. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 18 |
| Border ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 15 |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 19 |
| Fraud ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 19 |
| Social Security ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 24 |
| Midterm ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 70 |
| Steel ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 41 |
| 2028 / Campaign ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 44 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 80 |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 63 |
| Illegal Alien ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 57 |
| Economy / Economic ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 57 |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 34 |
| America First ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 20 |
| Inflation | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 52 |
| American Dream ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 33 |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 34 |
| Farm / Farmer ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 34 |
| Small Business | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 17 |
| Healthcare | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 25 |
| Nuclear | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 24 |
| Canada / Canadian | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 14 |
| China / Chinese | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 9 |
| Tariff | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 8 |
| Made in America / American Made | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 7 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
| Event does not qualify | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 10 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If JD Vance says Biden as part of midterm rally in Rome, New York originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will JD Vance say during his rally in Rome, New York?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.