What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (November 17) Odds
Polymarket traders give The Gospel of Christmas a 92% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Gospel of Christmas | 92% | -1076 | ▲ 52 |
| Reminders of Him | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 29 |
| The Day After Tomorrow | <1% | +33233 | ▼ 2 |
| Collision Course | <1% | +33233 | ▼ 1 |
| King Arthur: Legend of the Sword | <1% | +33233 | ▼ 1 |
| Kidnapped in Her Own Home: The Martha Carelli Story | <1% | +39900 | ▼ 4 |
| A Dog's Perfect Christmas | <1% | +49900 | ▼ 2 |
| The Croods | <1% | +66567 | ▼ 2 |
| Funny Money: The Dane Cook Story | <1% | +66567 | ▼ 5 |
| Misty Green | <1% | +66567 | ▼ 5 |
| Heartland | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 9 |
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Price history
On Kalshi
A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (November 17)?
As of Nov 15, 8:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price The Gospel of Christmas at 92%, about -1076 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 18, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (November 17)?
This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.