What will Amazon say during their next earnings call Odds · On Oct 29, 2026
This market has resolved: Tariff. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drone | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 11 |
| Third Party Seller | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 73 |
| Layoff / Job Cuts | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 6 |
| Supply Chain | 16% | +525 | ▼ 56 |
| China | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 29 |
| Tariff ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 5 |
| Snowflake | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 11 |
| 17% | +488 | ▼ 10 | |
| Prime Day ✓ | 86% | -614 | ▼ 3 |
| Trainium ✓ | 93% | -1329 | ▼ 3 |
| Gen AI / Generative AI ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 16 |
| OpenAI ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 9 |
| Sponsored Products | 3% | +3233 | ▼ 66 |
| Live Sports ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 13 |
| Alexa+ / Alexa Plus | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 81 |
| Anthropic / Claude ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 6 |
| Robotic / Robotics ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 14 |
| Iran / Middle East | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 44 |
| Bedrock ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 2 |
| Graviton ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 7 |
| Continuum ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 19 |
| NVIDIA | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 75 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Drone is said by any Amazon representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Amazon earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 31, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.