What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026 Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earbuds/Headphones | 12% | +770 | — |
| Clip-on device for clothing | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Necklace | 2% | +4155 | — |
| Watch | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Glasses | 9% | +1076 | ▲ 2 |
| Ring | 3% | +3471 | — |
| Phone | 10% | +900 | ▲ 2 |
| Tablet | 4% | +2226 | — |
| Head-mounted display | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Computer (Laptop/Desktop) | 4% | +2281 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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