Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026 Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 81,000 jobs | 97% | -2757 | — |
| Above 82,000 jobs | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 83,000 jobs | 92% | -1076 | — |
| Above 84,000 jobs | 56% | -130 | — |
| Above 85,000 jobs | 20% | +413 | — |
| Above 86,000 jobs | 9% | +1076 | — |
| Above 87,000 jobs | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Above 88,000 jobs | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Above 89,000 jobs | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Above 90,000 jobs | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Above 91,000 jobs | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 92,000 jobs | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Resolution rules
If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists May 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
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