Will a Vincent van Gogh artwork break his auction record this year Odds · van Gogh
Kalshi traders give “Yes” a 92% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 92% | -1150 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the highest auction sale price of any Vincent van Gogh artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $117180000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will a Vincent van Gogh artwork break his auction record this year"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Yes at 92%, about -1150 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will a Vincent van Gogh artwork break his auction record this year?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.