Video games released this year Odds · In 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 | <1% | +19900 | — |
| The Elder Scrolls 6 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Half-Life 3 | 2% | +4900 | ▼ 1 |
| Haunted Chocolatier | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Super Mario Galaxy 3 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| ARK 2 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Squadron 42 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Kingdom Hearts 4 | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Light No Fire | 5% | +2122 | — |
| Wolverine ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| ACOTAR 6 | 0% | — | — |
| Control Resonant ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Gears of War E-Day ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Phantom Blade Zero ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Grand Theft Auto VI | >99% | -19900 | — |
| The Duskbloods | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Iron Man | 3% | +2757 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Final Fantasy VII Remake #3 is fully released before Jan 1, 2027 on any platform in the United States, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Video games released this year?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.