Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models Odds · 2026
This market has resolved: Adriana Lima. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adriana Lima ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Joan Smalls ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Lily Aldridge | 73% | -270 | — |
| Yumi Nu ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Alex Consani ✓ | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Anok Yai ✓ | 93% | -1329 | — |
| Candice Swanepoel ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Stella Maxwell | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Angel Reese | 18% | +456 | — |
| Gigi Hadid ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Ashley Graham ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Barbara Palvin ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Alessandra Ambrosio ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Precious Lee ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Doutzen Kroes ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Emily Ratajkowski | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Imaan Hammam ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Iris Law ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Daiane Sodre ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Quen Blackwell ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Barbie Ferreira | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Suni Lee | 83% | -488 | — |
| Behati Prinsloo ✓ | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Tyra Banks | 49% | +104 | — |
| Taylor Hill | 30% | +233 | — |
| Bella Hadid ✓ | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Izabel Goulart | 28% | +257 | — |
| Karolina Kurkova | 28% | +257 | — |
| Heidi Klum | 11% | +809 | — |
| Lais Ribeiro | 29% | +245 | — |
| Gisele Bundchen | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Miranda Kerr | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Selita Ebanks | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Martha Hunt | 29% | +245 | — |
| Rosie Huntington-Whiteley ✓ | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Kendall Jenner | 20% | +400 | — |
| Irina Shayk ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Karlie Kloss | 16% | +525 | — |
| DEACTIVATED | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Adriana Lima is an official runway model at the Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.