USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026 Odds · End of 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 56.0% | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 58.0% | 92% | -1150 | — |
| Above 60.0% | 85% | -567 | — |
| Above 62.0% | 67% | -203 | — |
| Above 64.0% | 48% | +108 | — |
| Above 66.0% | 17% | +488 | — |
| Above 68.0% | 10% | +900 | — |
| Above 70.0% | 7% | +1329 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 56.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Mar 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.