US real GDP growth in 2033 Odds · 2033
Kalshi traders give 1.6% to 2.0% a 16% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6% to 2.0% | 16% | +525 | — |
| 2.1% to 2.5% | 15% | +567 | — |
| 1.1% to 1.5% | 11% | +809 | — |
| 0.1% to 0.5% | 6% | +1567 | — |
| 0.0% or Below | 5% | +1900 | — |
| 0.6% to 1.0% | 5% | +1900 | — |
| 4.1% to 4.5% | 5% | +1900 | — |
| 3.6% to 4.0% | 5% | +2122 | — |
| 5.1% to 5.5% | 4% | +2757 | — |
| 6.1% or Above | 3% | +2757 | — |
| 2.6% to 3.0% | 3% | +3233 | — |
| 4.6% to 5.0% | 3% | +3900 | — |
| 5.6% to 6.0% | 3% | +3900 | — |
| 3.1% to 3.5% | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in US real GDP growth in 2033?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price 1.6% to 2.0% at 16%, about +525 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 28, 2034 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on US real GDP growth in 2033?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.