US 10Y Treasury yield at 1:15pm ET · 30Y Treasury auction Odds · Nov 12, 2026 at 1:15pm ET
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.59% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.60% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.61% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.62% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.63% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.64% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.65% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.66% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.67% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.68% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.69% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.70% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.71% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.72% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.73% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.74% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.75% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.76% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.77% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.78% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.79% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.80% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.81% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.82% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.83% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.84% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.85% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.86% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.87% | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 99 |
| Above 4.88% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.89% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.90% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.91% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.92% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.93% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.94% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.95% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.96% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.97% | 0% | — | — |
| Above 4.98% | 0% | — | — |
Showing the top 40 of 51 outcomes.
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Resolution rules
If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.59% at Nov 12, 2026 at 1:15pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on US 10Y Treasury yield at 1:15pm ET · 30Y Treasury auction?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.