University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026 Odds
This market has resolved: 46.0 to 48.9. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 to 48.9 ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 45 |
| <40.0 | 0% | — | — |
| 40.0 to 42.9 | 0% | — | — |
| 43.0 to 45.9 | 0% | — | ▼ 23 |
| 49.0 to 51.9 | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| 52.0 to 54.9 | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| 55.0+ | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 23, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.