United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor Odds
This market has resolved: 83% to 84%. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83% to 84% ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 92 |
| <82% | 0% | — | ▼ 5 |
| 82% to 83% | 0% | — | ▼ 9 |
| 84% to 85% | 0% | — | ▼ 48 |
| 85%+ | 0% | — | ▼ 36 |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to United Airlines' consolidated passenger load factor, for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is United Airlines' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 20, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.