UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ) Odds
Polymarket traders give 0.6–0.7% a 55% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6–0.7% | 55% | -121 | — |
| 0.8–0.9% | 30% | +237 | — |
| 0.4–0.5% | 14% | +641 | — |
| Negative | <1% | +19900 | — |
| 0.0–0.1% | <1% | +28471 | ▼ 2 |
| 0.2–0.3% | <1% | +28471 | ▼ 3 |
| 1.0%+ | <1% | +39900 | ▼ 3 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 0.6–0.7% at 55%, about -121 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 13, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.