Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026 Odds · Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026
Kalshi traders give Choosin’ Texas a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin’ Texas | 91% | -1011 | — |
| I Knew It, I Knew You | 7% | +1329 | — |
| Ordinary | 2% | +6567 | — |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | 2% | +6567 | — |
| drop dead | 2% | +6567 | — |
| I Just Might | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Golden | 1% | +9900 | — |
| hate that i made you love me | 1% | +9900 | — |
| SWIM | 1% | +9900 | — |
| luther | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Die With a Smile | <1% | +19900 | — |
| I’m the Problem | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Lose Control | <1% | +19900 | — |
| A Bar Song (Tipsy) | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Not Like Us | <1% | +19900 | — |
| No One Noticed | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Billie Jean | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Beauty and a Beat | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Janice STFU | <1% | +19900 | — |
| DtMF | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Man I Need | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Babydoll | <1% | +19900 | — |
| End of Beginning | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Ordinary is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Choosin’ Texas at 91%, about -1011 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Top U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.