Top Song on Spotify in 2026 Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give End of Beginning a 79% chance (Polymarket: 74%).
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| End of Beginning | 79% | -365 | ▼ 7 | 74% |
| Babydoll | 10% | +900 | ▼ 3 | 11% |
| Golden | 1% | +9900 | — | — |
| Die With A Smile | 1% | +9900 | — | <1% |
| SWIM | 1% | +9900 | — | <1% |
| Ordinary | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Manchild | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Your Idol | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Soda Pop | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Don’t Say You Love Me | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| BIRDS OF A FEATHER | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| back to friends | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| APT. | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| DtMF | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| luther (with sza) | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Man I Need | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| The Fate of Ophelia | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Aperture | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| American Girls | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| I Just Might | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Stateside + Zara Larsson | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Raindance (Feat. Tems) | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| Beauty and a Beat | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| stupid song | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| Billie Jean | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| the cure | <1% | +19900 | — | — |
| drop dead | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
| hate that i made you love me | <1% | +19900 | — | <1% |
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Price history
On Polymarket
The same question also trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Golden is the #1 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price End of Beginning at 79%, about -365 in American odds. On Polymarket the same outcome trades at 74%. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Top Song on Spotify in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.