Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd Odds · On Nov 9, 2026
Kalshi traders give Xiaomi a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xiaomi | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Alibaba | 3% | +2757 | — |
| Moonshot | 2% | +4900 | — |
| DeepSeek | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Z.ai | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Baidu | 1% | +9900 | — |
| ByteDance | 1% | +9900 | — |
| MiniMax | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Tencent | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Meituan | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Nov 9, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Xiaomi at 95%, about -1900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.