SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | +2226 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 96% | -2226 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31"?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 96%, about -2226 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.