South Dakota corn yield in 2026 Odds · 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 125 bu/acre | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 130 bu/acre | 95% | -1718 | — |
| Above 135 bu/acre | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 140 bu/acre | 90% | -852 | — |
| Above 145 bu/acre | 79% | -365 | — |
| Above 150 bu/acre | 54% | -115 | — |
| Above 155 bu/acre | 36% | +178 | — |
| Above 160 bu/acre | 15% | +590 | — |
| Above 165 bu/acre | 10% | +953 | — |
| Above 170 bu/acre | 11% | +852 | — |
| Above 175 bu/acre | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Above 180 bu/acre | 5% | +2122 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on South Dakota corn yield in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.