Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| XO Tour Llif3 | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 4 |
| Sicko Mode | 31% | +228 | ▲ 3 |
| Bad and Boujee | 31% | +228 | — |
| Mask Off | 22% | +365 | ▼ 0 |
| Stay | 17% | +478 | ▲ 1 |
| Despacito | 13% | +669 | — |
| God's Plan | 21% | +388 | — |
| Pepas | 74% | -285 | ▲ 7 |
| Look at Me! | 14% | +590 | ▼ 0 |
| Rockstar | 17% | +488 | ▲ 2 |
| Shape of You | 14% | +641 | ▲ 1 |
| Blinding Lights | 46% | +117 | ▼ 1 |
| As It Was | 13% | +669 | — |
| Mo Bamba | 15% | +567 | ▼ 2 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution. If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.