Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Odds · gross merchandise volume in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $460 billion | 97% | -3233 | — |
| Above $470 billion | 93% | -1329 | — |
| Above $480 billion | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above $490 billion | 78% | -355 | — |
| Above $500 billion | 34% | +194 | — |
| Above $510 billion | 14% | +614 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Shopify Inc. reports Above 460000000000 gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jun 10, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.