Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

S&P price range on Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST Odds · On Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST

Kalshi traders give 7,625 to 7,649.9999 a 61% chance.

Kalshi Volume $893 24h $893 Ends Nov 12, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,625 to 7,649.9999
61% -153 ▲ 56
7,650 to 7,674.9999
27% +277 ▲ 38
7,600 to 7,624.9999
9% +1011 ▲ 9
7,575 to 7,599.9999
3% +3233 ▲ 3
7,525 to 7,549.9999
2% +6567 ▲ 1
7,550 to 7,574.9999
2% +6567 ▲ 4
7,675 to 7,699.9999
2% +6567 ▲ 1
7,700 to 7,724.9999
2% +6567 —
7,725 to 7,749.9999
2% +6567 —
7,750 to 7,774.9999
1% +9900 —
7,199.9999 or below
<1% +19900 —
7,200 to 7,224.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,225 to 7,249.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,250 to 7,274.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,275 to 7,299.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,300 to 7,324.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,325 to 7,349.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,350 to 7,374.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,375 to 7,399.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,400 to 7,424.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,425 to 7,449.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,450 to 7,474.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,475 to 7,499.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,500 to 7,524.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,775 to 7,799.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,800 to 7,824.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,825 to 7,849.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,850 to 7,874.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,875 to 7,899.9999
<1% +19900 —
7,900 or above
<1% +19900 —

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Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on November 11, 2026 is below 7200, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in S&P price range on Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST?

As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price 7,625 to 7,649.9999 at 61%, about -153 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on S&P price range on Nov 11, 2026 at 4pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.