AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

S&P price on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT Odds · On Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $253K Ended Oct 30, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,475 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,480 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,485 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,490 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,495 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,500 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,505 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,510 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,515 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,520 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,525 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,530 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,535 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,540 or above
93% -1329 ▲ 93
7,545 or above
97% -3233 ▲ 97
7,550 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,555 or above
97% -3233 ▲ 97
7,560 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,565 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,570 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,575 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,580 or above
75% -300 ▲ 75
7,585 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,590 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,595 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,600 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,605 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,610 or above
3% +3233 ▲ 3
7,615 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,620 or above
2% +4900 ▲ 2
7,625 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,630 or above
2% +4900 ▲ 2
7,635 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,640 or above
2% +4900 ▲ 2
7,645 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,650 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,655 or above
2% +4900 ▲ 2
7,660 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,665 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1
7,670 or above
1% +9900 ▲ 1

Showing the top 40 of 80 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 30 Oct 30
7,475 or above

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 30, 2026 is above 7474.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Oct 30, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.