AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

S&P price on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT Odds · On Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT

This market has resolved: 7,550 or above. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $29.1K Ended Oct 23, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,550 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,555 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,560 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,565 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,570 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,575 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,580 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,585 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,590 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,595 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,600 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,605 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,610 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,615 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,620 or above ✓
99% -9900 —
7,625 or above
7% +1329 —
7,630 or above
1% +9900 —
7,635 or above
1% +9900 —
7,640 or above
1% +9900 —
7,645 or above
1% +9900 —
7,650 or above
1% +9900 —
7,655 or above
3% +3233 —
7,660 or above
1% +9900 —
7,665 or above
1% +9900 —
7,670 or above
1% +9900 —
7,675 or above
1% +9900 —
7,680 or above
1% +9900 —
7,685 or above
1% +9900 —
7,690 or above
1% +9900 —
7,695 or above
1% +9900 —
7,700 or above
1% +9900 —
7,705 or above
1% +9900 —
7,710 or above
1% +9900 —
7,715 or above
1% +9900 —
7,720 or above
1% +9900 —
7,725 or above
0% — —
7,730 or above
2% +4900 —
7,735 or above
0% — —
7,740 or above
3% +3233 —
7,745 or above
0% — —

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 23 Oct 29
7,550 or above

Resolution rules

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on October 23, 2026 is above 7549.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Oct 23, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Oct 23, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.