Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

S&P price on Nov 9, 2026 at 4pm EST Odds · On Nov 9, 2026 at 4pm EST

This market has resolved. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $200K Ended Nov 9, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,200 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,205 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,210 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,215 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,220 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,225 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,230 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,235 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,240 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,245 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,250 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,255 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,260 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,265 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,270 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,275 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,280 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,285 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,290 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,295 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,300 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,305 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,310 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,315 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,320 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,325 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 46
7,330 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,335 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,340 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,345 or above
0% — —
7,350 or above
0% — —
7,355 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,360 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,365 or above
97% -3233 ▲ 97
7,370 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
7,375 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 39
7,380 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 47
7,385 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 44
7,390 or above
96% -2400 ▲ 42
7,395 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98

Showing the top 40 of 100 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 7 Nov 9
7,200 or above

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 9, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7199.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 9, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 9, 2026 at 4pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.